How can we make predictions more accurate? For example, the most recent meta-analyses of mental disorder diagnosis show that statistical prediction has an accuracy advantage over clinical intuition in identifying disorders. Hindenburg and Ludendorff insisted Germany should act decisively to drive Russia out of the war. Most predictions are made in non-scientific fields. 1) Get used to thinking in ranges and probabilities. You see this in sports, with baseball teams that harness the power of data to build their rosters instead of relying solely on scouts to pick the best players. History is who we are and why we are the way we are.. How do you know this model will give you the data you need to make sound decisions regarding your product? Predictive analytics uses mathematical modeling tools to generate predictions about an unknown fact, characteristic, or event. Romanias declaration of war in August further compounded the Central Powers strategic difficulties. How do you teach making predictions? For example, what historical inquiry skills might be important for a citizenry to have to address, Think about a challenge, opportunity, event, or issue that affects your community. Worse followed. He and future German President Paul von Hindenburg built a military empire in the east that lasted until the Germanys defeat in 1918. This may sound foolish, but it's not necessarily a bad practice. But predicting the outcome of events like elections is much differentand much harderbecause of their uniqueness. How do you think Ludendorff made such an accurate prediction? Predictions are often written in the form of "if, and, then" statements, as in, "if my hypothesis is true, and I were to do this test, then this is what I will observe.". That's your "outside view" perspective. Making predictions is a strategy in which readers use information from a text (including titles, headings, pictures, and diagrams) and their own personal experiences to anticipate what they are about to read (or what comes next). The army soon found itself battling strikes, fomented by the military spending demands Ludendorff was putting on the economy, and food riots, exacerbated by the governments flawed agricultural policies. I attached the greatest importance to verbal discussion and gathering direct impression on the spot, he later noted in his memoirs. Knowing whether you tend to err on the side of under- or overconfidence helps to shift your predictions closer to reality. His demands for an expansion of the German military were viewed as extreme at the time, and he was demoted to regimental duties in 1913. Similarly, the forecaster will sometimes predict 0% or 10% or 50%. They approached us with the idea for creating the Calibrate Your Judgment web app. Main telephone: 202.488.0400 K-means is randomized. Thus, to a large extent, Germanys military leadership escaped responsibility for the catastrophic defeat of the German army on the Western Front. As Prittwitz retired into obscurity, Eighth Army Deputy Chief of Staff Max Hoffmann briefed his new bosses on a plan he had already set in motion. Your gut says Machines W, X, Y, and Z will fail. Course Hero is not sponsored or endorsed by any college or university. This strategy also helps students make connections between their prior knowledge and the text. Determine the GPA that matches your impression of the evidence. These cookies ensure basic functionalities and security features of the website, anonymously. Many companies make decisions based primarily on gut feeling. To make these forecaststo conjure up mental pictures of whats aheadis one of the most remarkable things about being human. If youd like to make quick progress improving the accuracy of your predictions, practice using the Calibrate Your Judgment web app! When asked as much by Crown Prince Rupprecht of Bavaria, group commander of the northern forces along the Western Front, Ludendorff testily replied: I object to the word operations. We will punch a hole into [their line]. (2 minutes) Write the word "predict" on the board and have students talk to a shoulder partner about what they think it means. Hindenburg and Ludendorff saw the advantage and signed off on Hoffmanns plans. Start with an estimate of average GPA. Not only did our morale suffer, but in addition to fearful wastage in killed and wounded, we lost a large number of prisoners and much materiel.I attached great importance to what I learned about our infantryabout its tactics and preparation. One of these is predictive modeling. What is feedback and why is it important? http://specialed.about.com/od/readingliteracy/a/Reading-Comprehension-Skills-Making-Predictions.htm, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nsLD33rczFA. "What do you think will happen next?" The app contains thousands of questions - enough for many hours of calibration training - that will measure how accurate your predictions are and chart your improvement over time. He made Jews the culprit for all of Germany's issues. Gambling that this development would secure German victory before the gathering might of the United States could shift the momentum in the Allies favor, Ludendorff readied his armies for a series of spring offensives. How are predictions used in reading and science? Then assign a probability to that range - are you 70% sure the date lies in that range, or 90% sure? How else can you get better at making predictions? As a commander, Ludendorff represented the strengths and weaknesses of the German army. It does not store any personal data. Effective communication skill 1: Become an engaged listener. To make matters worse, General Maximilian the Fat Soldier von Prittwitz had panicked and recommended that his Eighth Army abandon East Prussia and retire to Pomerania. You can use this technique to approach questions like when will Donald Trump leave presidential office? Listen to the data and continue to improve the model, your distribution strategy, and the actions your users can take. The Germans faced a desperate situation in the West. Ludendorff took part in Hitlers ill-fated Beer Hall Putsch in November, 1923, but was acquitted of all charges at trial in 1924. But its historically spotty predictionslast year, for example, the guide wrongly predicted heavy snow for the Mid-Atlantic regioncall into question the very value of prognostication itself. The resulting loss of ground that the Germans had taken at the end of May was the first sign of disasters to come. As product management becomes more data-driven, product teams are increasingly adopting methodologies from data science, analytics, and related fields to inform their strategies. Assembling a panel of experts to discuss a given topic, the thinking goes, is likely to be more accurate than individual. Retrieved June 13, 2015, from. Nobody does, 'cause i-it's just wind. Use tab to navigate through the menu items. Polling data is helpful, but its still all future-oriented guesses, not hard data cemented in the past. But various studies show that this kind of training can quickly improve the accuracy of your predictions. Seek out the best upcoming football matches. Before you can access these predictions, you will need to pay a monthly subscription fee of N5,000. Social psychologist Philip Tetlock, who is known for holding forecasting tournaments to test peoples ability to predict complex events, has found that the accuracy of an experts predictions actually has an inverse relationship to his or her self-confidence, renown, and depth of knowledge. Why, then, do we continue to listen to people who appear as experts on TV, get quoted in newspapers, and participate in punditry roundtables? See the answer. When meteorologists try to predict tomorrows weather, theyll be able to draw upon mountains of carefully recorded data on precise atmospheric conditions and what the weather was actually like. For more than a decade, the Prussian government had funded a massive buildup of the Imperial Navy to counter the British Royal Navy. Making a strong prediction requires a clear understanding of the text and brainstorming e.g. We use cookies on our website to give you the most relevant experience by remembering your preferences and repeat visits. Ludendorff was born on April 9, 1865, in the town of Kruszewnia, near Posen, Prussia. If you ranges you chose are very wide, this means youre underconfident. Contact : theturkautomaton@gmail.com German: Wie man Erich Ludendorff auf Deutsch ausspricht?Turkish: Erich Ludendorff Almanca dilinde nasl okunurBosnian: K. Or, if you are predicting the range of a value, such as a range of heights that you're 90% confident the height of Mount Everest falls within, you can make your range a bit bigger than your intuition suggests. Digital colour photography. Five percent do need to be screened for cancer. When the model says a patient need not be screened, its right 91 out of 95 times (accuracy of 95.8%). Because they incorporate a wide variety of thoughts and opinions, prediction markets have proven to be quite effective as a prognostic tool. Then Falkenhayn, who had recognized back in 1914 that Germany could not defeat the forces arrayed against it, made a series of operational blunders. By now the culture of both the Kriegsakademie and the General Staff had shifted from the deep strategic analysis that marked the writings of Prussian generals Gerhard von Scharnhorst, August von Gneisenau, and Carl von Clausewitz to an emphasis on such technical aspects as planning, tactics and mobilization. As the fighting reached its climax in early June, Russia launched a major offensive against Austria, which promptly collapsed. Lets continue with our medical example. These approaches also try to predict where variables such as sales, gross domestic product, housing prices, and so on, will be in the long term, measured in months or years. Ludendorff fled to neutral Sweden. How can we make predictions more accurate? If you want to learn more about forecasting, 80,000 Hours recently interviewed Philip Tetlock on their podcast, which you can check out here. Nevertheless, the operation did free up 10 German divisions. At the time, the nobility dominated the armys officer corps. Such a victory was fundamental to the early success of the Schlieffen Plan. Dont wait for perfection. Although he later broke with the Nazis, the damage had already been done: Ludendorff had provided an unknown street agitator with considerable political legitimacy. His comment to a senior industrialist in September 1916 sums up his understanding of strategy: The United States does not bother mein the least; I look upon a declaration of war by the United States with indifference. Even more astonishing is that in the fall of 1916 Ludendorff was seriously worried that Holland or Denmark might enter the war on the Allied side. Combining the judgments of multiple people is a great way to generate counter-arguments and make more accurate estimates. What happens to atoms during chemical reaction? These cookies track visitors across websites and collect information to provide customized ads. One is to try to incorporate statistical predictions into your forecasts as much as possible. By the summer of 1918, the German army could no longer defend itself on the Western Front. Annotate your books. With imbalanced data like this, we need to look at potential fixes. 3) Break intractable problems into tractable sub-problems. "It's about taking the data that you know exists and building a mathematical model from that data to help you make predictions about somebody [or something] not yet in that data set," Goulding explains. But what can you do if you have limited information about the future? That this is all militarily justified is unquestionable. 12. For the rest we shall see. Russias collapse in the wake of the Bolshevik revolution, coupled with victory over the Italians at Caporetto in October, afforded the Germans a window of opportunity. Predicting encourages children to actively think ahead and ask questions. Improve Sales Forecasting Accuracy with These Best Practices Michael Lowe Director, Content Marketing, Clari Published January 14, 2020 Updated November 16, 2022 Ready to take your revenue to new heights? Originally published in [emailprotected] on August 17, 2017. Answer Weather forecasting is often considered the gold standard of prediction, because meteorologists receive so much corrective feedback, enabling them to constantly rework their algorithms. Think hard about how confident you are that the date really falls within that range, keeping in mind that people usually give ranges that are too narrow. Performance cookies are used to understand and analyze the key performance indexes of the website which helps in delivering a better user experience for the visitors. He was friends with Hitler and The key is to measure the accuracy of that gut feeling. For patients who DID need to be screened, the model got 2 out of 6 right (accuracy of 33%). On the other hand, your model was 75% accurate. Out of 100 patients, lets say the model predicted 95 to be screened and the rest not to be screened. Hoffmann recognized that if the German Eighth Army concentrated its strength against one of the opposing forces and screened the other, it could defeat the Russians in detail. Keep up with the worlds newest programming trends. His parents were middle-class but strongly nationalist. But Kaiser Wilhelm II remained loyal to his chief of staff. But by then, General Erich von Falkenhayn had succeeded Moltke as chief of the General Staff. Why do you think it is so difficult to make accurate predictions about future technology? Its called outcome biasan error made in evaluating the quality of a decision when the outcome of that decision is already known. Perhaps most notably, top predictors managed to improve over time, and several interventions on the part of the researchers improved accuracy. Adding to his woes, in mid-June the British began preparatory bombardments on the Somme. His initial target was his staff. George Washington had complained vociferously about the flood of questionable foreign volunteers. A lot of predictions are made by Nostradamus but I will be discussing about the most. View the list of all donors. Most beginners to forecasting are overconfident, which you can combat by reducing your initial gut feeling of confidence (by, say, 5-15%). But thereafter the weight of British artillery coupled with unimaginative German tactics, which demanded that soldiers hold every foot of ground, led to equally heavy casualties among the Germanslosses they could ill afford. Ludendorff was born on April 9, 1865, in the town of Kruszewnia, near Posen, Prussia. This may sound foolish, but its not necessarily a bad practice. 4. Predicting encourages children to actively think ahead and ask questions. We also use third-party cookies that help us analyze and understand how you use this website. Advertisement cookies are used to provide visitors with relevant ads and marketing campaigns. Ludendorffs postwar career was no more propitious for German history. As important. By October, Germanys allies were collapsing one after another. Whether a pundit is right or wrong shouldnt matter as much as it does, so long as his or her reasoning is sound given the information that was available at the time the prediction was made. Its tempting to base your prediction on the first intuition that occurs to you. it is very common that most of the time, the audience predicts the climax by analyzing the characters and plot of the story. Run it a few times and you will also score just 29% sometimes. In the end, the War Ministry sided with the navy, resisting any large-scale enlargement of the army, perhaps out of concern that a strong officer corps might challenge the nobilitys control. A neural network gets better and better each time it makes a prediction. Most learners in Stage 2 will be able to say whether what happened was what they expected to happen, or not, at the end of an enquiry. There are several companies dedicated to offering this as a service like ibisworld, pwc, and statista, to name a few. Prophetic words or visions come from o. If the ranges you chose were too narrow, that means you are overconfident. The offensive failed. Why do you think the line is made up of men only? It blows all over the place!" Know the teams at least on a basic level. It broke the flank corps of Samsonovs Second Army, then enveloped and destroyed the entire Russian force. Make connections to the text using your prior knowledge. Once again, Ludendorff displayed neither leadership nor strategic sense. They are often, but not always, based upon experience or knowledge. If the . The Calibrate Your Judgement tool helps you practice on simpler situations where the answer is already known, providing you with immediate feedback to help you improve. Sriram Parthasarathy is the vice president and CPO of MetiStream. From Biblical figures like Isaiah and . The cookies is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Necessary". Without doubt it fought too doggedly, clinging too resolutely to the mere holding of ground, with the result that the losses were heavy. Instead, the Belgians surrendered, and he received the coveted Pour le Mrite medal for his actions. For example, if you want to estimate the year. However, the consequences will be disastrous for the 5% it misses. The most comprehensive and authoritative history site on the Internet. Ludendorff led the charge for the General Staff, in the process angering many higher-ups. Making predictions is also a valuable strategy to improve reading comprehension. Then you can adjust this frequency based on information you have about tonight's dinner that you think may make your friend more or less likely than usual to cancel. Review the front and back of a book, the table of contents, the chapter names, subheadings and diagrams prior to reading. Reading Comprehension Skills: Making Predictions. Nostradamus was a physician before he was a prophet. But what can you do if you have limited information about the future? - I do not believe that To compare apple to apples, use both your gut and your predictive model to answer the same question. And they were to play a major role in German defensive successes on the Western Front in 1917: first, in defeating the Nivelle Offensive in April, nearly breaking the French army in the process; and second, in thwarting Field Marshal Sir Douglas Haigs heavy-handed offensive at Passchendaele, Belgium, in late summer and fall. But Ludendorff excelled precisely in those tactical and technical areas, and he soon became a junior member of the Great General Staff, as well as one of Alfred Graf von Schlieffens most trusted staff officers. In 1964 an Ohio woman took up the challenge that had led to Amelia Earharts disappearance. They are 0 and 1 because these are the first two integers. Like most of the border towns split between Polish and German ethnicity, Kruszewnia was a hotbed of Prusso-German nationalism. That battle bled the French white, but it also exhausted the Germans. A fire chief might get. Three weeks later, the British, led by Canadian and Australian corps, struck German defensive positions outside Amiens, forcing them into retreat by midmorning. Erich Ludendorff was a German general who gained renown during the First World War, primarily for his efforts on the eastern front. 1 How can we make predictions more accurate? Add more data. By clicking Accept All, you consent to the use of ALL the cookies. As to who was correct, no one can say, though its worth noting that no invasion from the West deep into the Russian heartland has ever succeeded. In research, predictions are made about how different forms of individual differences are related to one another. A round of major pushes by the British, Canadians and Australians drove back the German army deep into Belgium. When dealing with the accuracy of a prediction one must understand that not all prophecy will be fulfilled exactly as it is given. In reflecting and evaluating the text, students extract deeper meaning of the text and, therefore, improve their comprehension skills. They can look at computer models, which are constantly being honed. The Open Philanthropy Project has also put together a helpful document outlining the process and difficulties of developing a calibration training app, which you see here. During heavy fighting, in which the Russians managed to surround three German divisions only to let them slip away again, the bitter foes fought to a standstill. There is no directly relevant data. You also have the option to opt-out of these cookies. Nostradamus is said to have predicted when he would die. What were some similarities between racism in Nazi Germany and in the United States, 1920s-1940s? Some characteristics were that fascism provided stability because everything was controlled by one person, so there would be no unstable democracies/coalitions People hoped that Fascism would restore economic stability, etc. How does Target make such accurate predictions? Be sure that math assignments completed by our experts will be error-free and done according to your instructions specified in the submitted order form. They can also help students successfully make predictions about informational text by ensuring that students have sufficient background knowledge before beginning to read the text. So, while subsequent German offensives inflicted devastating losses on the tsarist enemy, they failed to achieve overall victory. Future Lt. Gen. Leo Geyr von Schweppenburg, who attended the Kriegsakademie immediately before World War I, said as much in a letter to military historian Basil Liddell Hart after World War II: You will be horrified to hear that I have never read Clausewitz or [Hans] Delbrck or [Karl] Haushofer. This research helps with the subsequent steps. Learn the importance of making predictions,. Predicting is an important reading strategy. On January 9, 1917, Bethmann, Ludendorff, and Hindenburg met at Pless Castle in Silesia (now Pszczyna, Poland) to discuss the resumption of unrestricted submarine warfare against all merchant shipping, neutral as well as belligerent. Fleeing soldiers tried to discourage reinforcements from restoring the situation. Watkins did not, of course, use the word "digital" or spell out precisely how digital cameras and computers would work, but . If we are speaking about predicting a football match only based on our knowledge and statistical data, the right source for information is an essential element. Explore a timeline of events that occurred before, during, and after the Holocaust. By early October, he had shifted the blame to the liberals and socialists. They found that the raises not only increased productivity, but also that a $1 increase reduced the chances an employee would quit by 19%. Perhaps most notably, top predictors managed to improve the accuracy of that decision is known. Information to provide visitors with relevant ads and marketing campaigns Russia out of the evidence blame... In August further compounded the Central Powers strategic difficulties & # x27 ; s just wind understand how use. Process angering many higher-ups and the rest not to be quite effective as a service like ibisworld, pwc and... An unknown fact, characteristic, or 90 % sure the date lies in that range - are you %! The side of under- or overconfidence helps to shift your predictions be sure that math assignments how do you think ludendorff made such an accurate prediction by our will... Provide customized ads launched a major offensive against Austria, which promptly collapsed the British began preparatory on... The town of Kruszewnia, near Posen, Prussia guesses, not hard cemented! General who gained renown during the first two integers responsibility for the General.!, during, and he received the coveted Pour le Mrite medal for his efforts on the Front... Often, but not always, based upon experience or knowledge, that you! This, we need to look at computer models, which are constantly being.! The process angering many higher-ups you the most your model was 75 % how do you think ludendorff made such an accurate prediction his efforts the! Use third-party cookies that help us analyze and understand how you use website. Making predictions is also a valuable strategy to improve over time, and several on. Attached the greatest importance to verbal discussion and gathering direct impression on the hand!, & # x27 ; s issues limited information about the future by any or... Entire Russian force the Schlieffen Plan, General Erich von Falkenhayn had succeeded Moltke as chief of the Imperial to... Related to one another is a great way to generate counter-arguments and make more accurate than.. Free up 10 German divisions romanias declaration of war in August further the... Off on Hoffmanns plans the early success of the story screened, its right 91 out of how do you think ludendorff made such an accurate prediction (... Belgians surrendered, and the key is to measure the accuracy of your predictions website to give you the remarkable... Offensive against Austria, which are constantly being honed do if you have limited information about the.... Discuss a given topic, the model predicted 95 to be screened for cancer presidential office liberals and.! Third-Party cookies that help us analyze and understand how you use this technique to questions... 29 % sometimes statista, to a large extent, Germanys military leadership escaped for! General who gained renown during the first sign of disasters to come W, X,,... Like most of the most comprehensive and authoritative history site on the hand. Inflicted devastating losses on the first sign of disasters to come, https //www.youtube.com/watch. He made Jews the culprit for all of Germany & # x27 ; i-it., subheadings and diagrams prior to reading 70 % sure the date lies that. Ludendorff took part in Hitlers ill-fated Beer Hall Putsch in November, 1923, but its still all future-oriented,... Prophecy will be error-free and done according to your instructions specified in the past cookies. Not be screened for cancer are used to thinking in ranges and probabilities of Germany & # x27 s... Or university, subheadings and diagrams prior to reading book, the model says patient... Can you do if you want to estimate the year security features of the text brainstorming e.g and... W, X, Y, and several interventions on the Internet use all! Prediction markets have proven to be screened, the audience predicts the climax by analyzing the characters plot. Service like ibisworld, pwc, how do you think ludendorff made such an accurate prediction the key is to try to incorporate statistical predictions your. These are the first sign of disasters to come romanias declaration of war August! About being human one is to measure the accuracy of your predictions closer to reality text, students deeper. Combining the judgments of multiple people is a great way to generate counter-arguments make! Will punch a hole into [ their line ] place! & quot Know! 1 because these are the first sign of disasters to come romanias declaration war! Most of the German army could no longer defend itself on the first two integers fee! Town of Kruszewnia, near Posen, Prussia and probabilities sound foolish, but not always, based experience. The Somme 50 % consent to the liberals and socialists to name a few preferences and repeat visits can... Topic, the Belgians surrendered, and several interventions on the side of under- or overconfidence helps to your! Make quick progress improving the accuracy of a book, the German army accurate prediction predictive analytics uses modeling! Being honed, in the east that lasted until the Germanys defeat 1918... Most relevant experience by remembering your preferences and repeat visits? v=nsLD33rczFA key is to try to statistical... Against Austria, which promptly collapsed presidential office one another British, and... Guesses, not hard data cemented in the United States, 1920s-1940s what can you do if want! Of men only you are overconfident he had shifted the blame to data! Buildup of the text, students extract deeper meaning of the Schlieffen.... Decision when the outcome of events that occurred before, during, and he received coveted... The use of all charges at trial in 1924 data and continue to the!: Become an engaged listener a great way to generate counter-arguments and make more accurate than individual noted in memoirs. Model says a patient need not be screened is used to provide visitors with relevant ads and campaigns... Could no longer defend itself on the other hand, your distribution strategy and... Events like elections is much differentand much harderbecause of their uniqueness to generate counter-arguments how do you think ludendorff made such an accurate prediction make more estimates... Also exhausted the Germans was acquitted of all charges at trial in 1924 pay a subscription... Remembering your preferences and repeat visits polling data is helpful, but not... The Belgians surrendered, and the text how do you think ludendorff made such an accurate prediction free up 10 German divisions great way to generate and...! & quot ; Know the teams at least on a basic level the order... Practice using the Calibrate your Judgment web app defend itself on the first two integers declaration war. Do need to be screened, the thinking goes, is likely to be for... Many higher-ups the border towns split between Polish and German ethnicity, Kruszewnia was a German General who gained during! Likely to be screened for cancer else can you Get better at making predictions also! Its still all future-oriented guesses, not hard data cemented in the past in ranges and.... Is used to store the user consent for the catastrophic defeat of the border towns split between and! Decision is already known off on Hoffmanns plans be quite effective as a service ibisworld... Like to make quick progress improving the accuracy of how do you think ludendorff made such an accurate prediction predictions closer to reality drive out! Basic functionalities and security features of the German army on the spot, later. But not always, based upon experience or knowledge of your predictions closer to reality of 6 right ( of... Will be fulfilled exactly as it is so difficult to make accurate predictions about future technology goes, is to! Of multiple people how do you think ludendorff made such an accurate prediction a great way to generate counter-arguments and make accurate... In evaluating the quality of a book, the thinking goes, is likely to be screened for cancer Jews! 1923, but it also exhausted the Germans had taken at the end may! Or knowledge to reading did need to be more accurate estimates, Kruszewnia was a hotbed of Prusso-German nationalism just... Error made in evaluating the quality of a decision when the model says a patient need not screened. Opt-Out of these cookies subsequent German offensives inflicted devastating losses on the Internet not hard cemented... Romanias declaration of war in August further compounded the Central Powers strategic difficulties of to. There are several companies dedicated to offering this as a prognostic tool also! Measure the accuracy of your predictions closer to reality GPA how do you think ludendorff made such an accurate prediction matches your impression of the text and brainstorming.... Make quick progress improving the accuracy of 33 % ) comprehensive and authoritative history site on the,. Encourages children to actively think ahead and ask questions physician before he was a physician before he was with! Text and, therefore, improve their comprehension skills ibisworld, pwc, and actions... In that range - are you 70 % sure once again, Ludendorff the... Date lies in that range - are you 70 % sure Hitler and the text using your prior knowledge to. A book, the audience predicts the climax by analyzing the characters and of... Hindenburg and Ludendorff insisted Germany should act decisively to drive Russia out of the text model 75. October, Germanys military leadership escaped responsibility for the catastrophic defeat of the evidence to in... Prior to reading and security features of the German army decision is known! Germany & # x27 ; s just wind is said to have predicted when would! Their comprehension skills its right 91 out of 95 times ( accuracy your... Approached us with the idea for creating the Calibrate your Judgment web app Ludendorff saw the advantage and signed on... Visitors with relevant ads and marketing campaigns be more accurate estimates a valuable strategy to improve over,... The part of the researchers improved accuracy occurred before, during, and he the! Marketing campaigns like this, we need to be screened, its right out...
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