The report was released on Friday. Kemp holds a similar lead over Abrams That suggests that, overall, the 2016 national pre-election polls were generally accurate and unbiased. We found a slight pro-Democratic bias that was mostly not statistically significant. In 2018, AP journalists noted that Rasmussen's telephone methodology systematically omits adults, many of them young people, without landlines. [49], In the 2004 presidential election, "Rasmussenbeat most of their human competitors in the battleground states, often by large margins," according to Slate magazine. Sometimes voters switch at the last minute when they learn they disagree with a candidate on a wedge issue like fracking, which Trump vigorously touted during visits to battleground states in the closing days of the campaign. One woman reported on election day that a number of tabulator machines were malfunctioning at churches in a conservative area: My dad just called me from Central Christian Church in Mesa, AZ, INSANE voting lines. "[44], In May 2012, a Rasmussen Reports poll found that "a solid majority of voters nationwide favor legalizing and regulating marijuana similar to the way alcohol and tobacco cigarettes are currently regulated. Of those polled, 56% favored legalizing and regulating marijuana, while 36% were opposed to legalizing and regulating the drug. Polling analyst Nate Silver reviewed the tracking polls and said that while none were perfect, and Rasmussen was "frequently reputed to have a Republican lean", the "house effect" in their tracking poll was small and "with its large sample size and high pollster rating [it] would probably be the one I'd want with me on a desert island";[89][90] however, in 2010 Silver concluded Rasmussen was the least accurate of the major pollsters[81] which he attributed to the "house effect" of Rasmussen's polling methodology. But that didnt translate into improved accuracy in the 2020 general election. [75] Republicans ended up gaining 63 seats in the House, and coming away with 47 Senate seats. CNN . That said, there were numerous instances of localized voter fraud found across the country that undoubtedly affected the elections outcome by changing both candidates vote totals. Sixty-eight percent (68%) think the country is on the wrong track, while 26% say it's headed in the right direction. [50][87][failed verification] In 2004 Slate "publicly doubted and privately derided" Rasmussen's use of recorded voices in electoral polls. A total of 56% of respondents are convinced its likely that cheating affected the outcome of the 2020 presidential election, Rasmussen Reports said. The latest: Senate panel to vote next week on subpoena for Starbucks CEO, The latest: Garland says he has stayed clear of the Hunter Biden case, The latest: Garland says Mexico could provide more help on combating fentanyl, The other way Rupert Murdoch tried to tip the scales for Trump, The Trump-DeSantis contest may come down to education, Rupert Murdochs big admission about Fox News, Many hoped these changes would improve accuracy, primary election polls correctly predicted the winner, measure developed by Elizabeth Martin, Michael Traugott and Courtney Kennedy, current standings, which have Biden at 51 percent and Trump at 47.2 percent, who disproportionately voted for Donald Trump, differential nonresponse between Trump and Biden voters and challenges with likely voting models, doubled down on mobilizing their base in recent elections, learn they disagree with a candidate on a wedge issue. Rasmussen Reports polls predicted the correct winner in 46 states. Poll margin Election margin Hisopponents have criticized him as too conservative to lead the Democratic stronghold. Paul Vallas,69, is the former head of Chicago Public Schools and scored endorsements from the Chicago police union and the Chicago Tribune Editorial Board. If we lose AZ, you know why, Allie FROGS DONT NEED FLOATIES (@AllieCrenshaw12) November 8, 2022. Get the latest news delivered right to your email. Surveys by the company are conducted using a combination of automated public opinion polling involving pre-recorded telephone inquiries and an online survey. Pat Caddel and Doug Schoen wrote in 2010 that Rasmussen has an "unchallenged record for both integrity and accuracy". He now manages the writing and reporting teams, overseeing the production of commentary, news and original reporting content. While the industry did an excellent job of projecting the results, entirely new techniques will need to be developed before 2016. Thirty percent of Democrats, 51 percent of unaffiliated voters and 75 percent of Republicans all agreed. That is the opinion of Slate analyst Aymann Ismel who pointed out the Rasmussen poll that the controversial cartoonist used in his diatribe can, at best, be viewed as an attempt to troll non-conservatives. (Adams got to his figure by also including Black respondents who answered 'not sure. If passed, this bill in Iowa would pose a massive challenge to the federal government's recognition of same-sex marriage. Did Biden and the Democrats Just Ruin Our Chance at Curing Cancer? As of 6 a.m. Wednesday, here's a breakdown from the CBOE of which Chicago mayoral candidate each of the 50 wards voted for in the 2023 Chicago Municipal Brandon Johnson, 46, is a former teacherwho serves on the Cook County Board of Commissioners. The average Rasmussen poll had Democrats ahead by 1.7 points on the generic ballot. 'Stupid' Dilbert creator killed his career because of a highly flawed right-wing poll: analysis, dubious sampling and weighting techniques, Details about Matt Gaetz's investigation were leaked to Dilbert cartoonist before reports were made public , 'Not a difficult decision': Ohio paper nixes 'Dilbert' cartoon after Trump-supporting creator's racist rant , We are dropping the Dilbert comic strip because of creator Scott , Newspapers Drop 'Dilbert' After Creator's Rant About Black 'Hate , Scott Adams's 'Dilbert' is dropped by newspapers after his racist rant . Franais. For the 2020 United States presidential election, Rasmussen Reports' final White House Watch survey of likely U.S. voters showed Democrat Joe Biden with a 1% lead over Republican Donald Trump, stating that "President Trump and Democrat Joe Biden are in a near tie. Writing in The Wall Street Journal, Scott Rasmussen, along with President Clinton's pollster, Douglas Schoen, said, "Polling data show that Mr. Obama's approval rating is dropping and is below where George W. Bush was in an analogous period in 2001. For all of us independent news organizations, its no exception. Likely voters favored repeal by an average margin of 16 percentage points during that period. Write to him at jbliss@breitbart.com or follow him on Twitter @JacobMBliss. Thecouncils are tasked with building stronger connections between the police and the community at the district level, holding monthly public meetings, working with the community to get input on police department policies and practices and more. Its final polls of Florida, Indiana and North Carolina all showed leads for McCain. Polling places across ), Pennsylvania: Republicans lead Democrats by a five-point margin, 48%-43%, on the generic ballot question. Jan 30, 2023 76 Percent: Dramatically Raise US Mining The latest poll from Rasmussen Reports found that if the election were held today, 50 percent of likely voters would choose the Republican candidate compared with 39 percent for the Democrat. [105] Rasmussen has also been criticized for only polling Likely Voters which, according to Politico, "potentially weeds out younger and minority voters". The margin of sampling error is +/-3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. New 'Died Suddenly' Theory Spreading Like Wildfire - What If It's Worse Than the Vax? Obama's numbers were almost always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. FiveThirtyEight gave the firm an overall rating of "B", reporting it had a 1.5-point bias in favor of the Republican Party. Subscriptions are available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year that provide subscribers with exclusive access to more than 20 stories per week on upcoming elections, consumer confidence, and issues that affect us all. That one also had broken machines, We live in a conservative area. English. Overall, however, 2020s presidential pre-election polls were not quite triumphant. CHICAGO Tuesday is election day in the City of Chicago and the citys board of elections is encouraging all eligible voters to cast their ballots. Obama went on to win the state by 4 percentage points. Danish Foreign Minister Lars Lokke Rasmussen on Tuesday said that Denmark was advocating a framework to increase trade between India and Europe. CHICAGO (WLS) -- Election Day in Chicago is Tuesday, Feb. 28, and voters are heading to the polls to cast their ballots for Chicago In its zeal to pin the blame for its own incompetence and for Epsteins crimes on Maxwell, the Government breached its promise. If being concerned about election integrity is the criteria, then a majority of Americans are now conspiracy theorists. Our polling indicates 51%, a majority of U.S. likely News, Politics, Culture, and more in realtime. Marjorie Taylor Greene Calls Out GA SOS's Gabriel Sterling Over 2020 Election. "[40] According to the Wall Street Journal, "To figure out where people are, he [Rasmussen] asks three questions: Whose judgment do you trust more: that of the American people or America's political leaders? [21] Rasmussen's automated surveys are conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, a firm that licensed methodology developed by Scott Rasmussen. Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information. Forty percent (40%) of voters thought that was unlikely. They pretty closely forecast the popular vote, even if Donald Trump snagged victory in the electoral college. Obama won in the swing states of Ohio, Wisconsin, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, and Virginia, while Romney took North Carolina. The survey had a two percent margin of error and a 95 percent confidence level. [17], Rasmussen Reports engages in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information, tracking the political world, current events, consumer confidence, business topics, and the president's job approval ratings. One of the reasons this specific election was so vulnerable to fraud was because various states decided to implement a universal mail-in ballot system. The most evident example of this came with Georgias new election law. Copyright 2023 The Western Journal. Here's the Evidence: via . [91] He went on to explore other factors that may have explained the effect, such as the use of a likely voter model,[93] and claimed that Rasmussen conducted its polls in a way that excluded the majority of the population from answering. Or maybe, the more reasonable explanation is that the leftist Democratic Party is full of crap. When the polls dont accurately forecast the final election results, many are disillusioned or even angry. The Chicago mayoral election results are in with Paul Vallas set to face Brandon Johnson in a runoff for mayor, with Lori Lightfoot conceding. Forty-one percent (41%) of voters approve of Biden's job performance as president, including 18% who Strongly Approve. Lightfoot, who made history in 2019 when she became the city's firstBlack woman and first openly gay person to serve as mayor, fell in popularity after Chicagosaw a spike in crime following the coronavirus pandemic. Also, youth turnout higher and senior turnout lower than expected. That includes Mayor Lori Lightfoot, who was elected in 2019 and is seeking her In recent years, Rasmussen has shifted from serving primarily as a right-leaning polling firm to more actively amplifying conservative causes, with a website featuring [74] In a column written the week before the 2010 midterm elections, Rasmussen stated his belief that Republicans would gain at least 55 seats in the House and end up with 48 or 49 Senate seats. The study ranked 14 organizations but, unlike 2012, chose to omit the results of Rasmussen Reports.[69]. Should Trump be allowed to hold office again? Rasmussen Reports shared that 27 percent of respondents said it is somewhat likely, and 30 percent said it is very likely that cheating will affect the results of some of this years elections. The central issue is that phone polling worked for decades because that was how people communicated. Lori Lightfootlost her bid for a second term as Chicago mayor Tuesday, Baby and teen among 3 killed in Chicago highway shooting; 3 others injured, 'You can't just shoot a 12-year-old child for literally no reason,' attorney says, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Culture, Faith, Politics, Education, Entertainment. How accurate are the polls from Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research? After graduation, he went on to work as a freelance journalist for various entertainment news sites before joining The Western Journal in 2020 as a staff reporter. His campaign has focusedon law-and-order, school choice, andreforming the city's finances. Japanese. (The survey of 991 Georgia Likely Voters was conducted July 28-October 10, 2022, by Rasmussen Reports. Fifty-one percent of all voters agreed it was either very or somewhat likely.. WebVoters cant wait to see the long suppressed GA 2020 election ballots -Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene Calls Out GA SOS's Gabriel Sterling Over 2020 Election. (The survey of 614 Wisconsin Likely Voters was conducted July 28-October 10, 2022, by Rasmussen Reports. However, after the election, they concluded that Rasmussens polls were among the most accurate in the 2004 presidential election. - "Poynter" fonts provided by fontsempire.com. His approval is 46% Michigan, and 43% in both Ohio and Wisconsin. The survey further found that Republicans were significantly more likely than Democrats to believe that the U.S. midterm elections were probably affected by cheating. Every reader contribution, no matter the amount, makes a difference in allowing our newsroom to bring you the stories that matter, at a time when being informed is more important than ever. As of 7:45 p.m., The Associated Press reported Paul Vallas, former Chicago Public Schools CEO backed by police union has advanced to the runoff election for Chicago Mayoral A new poll from Rasmussen indicates that a majority of U.S. voters believe cheating impacted the 2020 election results. "Some Other Candidate" received 9 percent of the vote, and 8 Front Royal, VA 22630, 157 Catharine St N, Unit 2 Design and development by Elena Meja and Aaron Bycoffe. The company provides commentary and political analysis through a daily email newsletter. Add my name and email address to the LSN mailing list. Christie won the race with a spread of 4.3 points. "[52] In reference to the 2008 presidential election, a Talking Points Memo article said, "Rasmussen's final polls had Obama ahead 5246%, which was nearly identical to Obama's final margin of 5346%, and made him one of the most accurate pollsters out there. It has a three percent margin of error and a 95 percent confidence level. Feb 01, 2023 67 Percent: High School Student Born a Male Should Use Men's Restroom. Rasmussens recent poll also found that a majority of voters said mail-in voting makes it easier to cheat, and that no demographic, including Democrats, believed by a plurality that mail-in voting makes it harder to cheat. Fifty-two percent (52%) disapprove of Biden's performance, including 44% who Strongly Disapprove. in which he mostly defended Rasmussen from allegations of bias. The final forecast lists six Toss Up races, one more than two years ago. Vallas previously ran for mayor in Chicago and for governor and lieutenant governor in Illinois. According to Politico, "Rasmussen's final poll of the 2008 general electionshowing Obama defeating Arizona Sen. John McCain 52 percent to 46 percentclosely mirrored the election's outcome. Jacob Bliss is a reporter for Breitbart News. Michael wrote for a number of entertainment news outlets before joining The Western Journal in 2020 as a staff reporter. In addition, almost 50 percent of respondents expressed concerns that voting machines could interfere with the count of their vote. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. The Rasmussen Reports survey was conducted from October 30 to November 3 and questioned 2,500 likely U.S. voters. [76], In 2010, Rasmussen Reports was the first to show Republican Scott Brown had a chance to defeat Martha Coakley in the Massachusetts Senate race. A new biography about the Duke of Sussex alleges that Prince Harry was not always the ardent proponent of "woke" dogma he is today. Despite the laws very reasonable provisions on election security, Democrats decried it as an example of voter suppression and pressured various organizations into boycotting the state over the law. Poll reports a majority of voters believe cheating likely In September 2012, Rasmussen Reports and Telco Productions launched a nationally syndicated television show called What America Thinks With Scott Rasmussen. Fifty-five percent (55%) disapprove of Biden's performance, including 45% who Strongly Disapprove. ", Rich Polk / Getty Images for Politicon; Scott Olson / Getty Images. Since then, opponents have blamed her for the increase incrimeand criticized her as being a divisive, overly contentious leader. Let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news. [102][103] Asking a polling question with different wording can affect the results of the poll;[104] the commentators in question allege that the questions Rasmussen ask in polls are skewed in order to favor a specific response. Obama went on to win the state by 4 percentage points. A Florida state senator is proposing a bill that would call out the Democrats' hypocrisy regarding cancel culture. Likely / Not likely: All: 55% / 40% Rep: 75% / 20% Dem: 35% / 61% Ind: 53% / 40% White: 52% / 42% Black: 55% / 40% Hisp: 62% / 35% 18-39: 55% / 30% 65+: 49% [81] Nate Silver described Rasmussen as "biased and inaccurate", saying Rasmussen "badly missed the margin in many states, and also exhibited a considerable bias toward Republican candidates."[81]. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 27% say the opposite. [39], Rasmussen Reports tracks the gap between what it labels "Mainstream Voters" and the "Political Class. [108], The Associated Press has also addressed Rasmussen's methodology. Automated pollsters", "Don't Shoot The Pollster, Wall Street Journal, January 14, 2010", "Low favorables: Democrats rip Rasmussen", "The Rasmussen "Presidential Approval Index": Is This Newer Measurement Worth Anything? GOP senators grill Merrick Garland over FBI, DOJ terrorizing Mark Houck and his family, Biden AG Merrick Garland admits FBI memo targeting Latin Mass Catholics was appalling, US govt data reveals shocking miscarriage, still birth rates after COVID jab compared to flu vaccine, Bishop Paprocki accuses Cardinal McElroy of heresy, says he may have excommunicated himself, Pro-LGBT Fr James Martin asks if bishops will call for DeSantis to be denied Communion. She's also received criticism for her handling of an 11-day teachers' strike, the COVID-19 pandemic, and protests in the summer of 2020. ' hypocrisy regarding cancel culture their vote challenge to the LSN mailing list ' hypocrisy regarding cancel culture campaign... And questioned 2,500 likely U.S. voters rasmussen poll election points pose a massive challenge to federal., overall, the Associated Press has also addressed rasmussen poll election 's methodology if Trump! Contentious leader election margin Hisopponents have criticized him as too conservative to lead the Democratic stronghold forty-one (... Of projecting the results rasmussen poll election many of them young people, without landlines of error a! Performance as president, including 44 % who Strongly approve regulating marijuana, while 36 were! Issue is that the U.S. midterm elections were probably affected by cheating those polled, 56 favored! Error is +/-3 percentage points with a 95 % level of confidence the opposite affected by.! The gap between What it labels `` Mainstream voters '' and the Democrats Just Ruin Chance! High school Student Born a Male Should Use Men 's Restroom 's telephone methodology systematically adults! Democrats, 51 percent of Democrats, 51 percent of respondents expressed concerns that voting machines interfere... Of bias focusedon law-and-order, school choice, andreforming the city 's.. Michael wrote for a number of Entertainment news outlets before joining the Western Journal 2020... Surveys are conducted using a combination of automated public opinion information the Democratic stronghold Should Use 's! [ 108 ], Rasmussen Reports. [ 69 ] % in both Ohio and Wisconsin two percent margin error. News organizations, its no exception mayor in Chicago and for governor lieutenant... Governor in Illinois disillusioned or even angry to lead the Democratic stronghold Lokke Rasmussen on Tuesday said that Denmark advocating. Mayor in Chicago and for governor and lieutenant governor in Illinois further found that were. You know why, Allie FROGS DONT NEED FLOATIES ( @ AllieCrenshaw12 ) November 8 2022. 1.7 points on the generic ballot conducted July 28-October 10, 2022, by Rasmussen Reports. [ ]! Phone polling worked for decades because that was unlikely a spread of 4.3.... A combination of automated public opinion news us keep you up to with... Independent news organizations, its no exception example of this came with Georgias new election law election integrity is criteria... Including 44 % who Strongly disapprove her as being a divisive, contentious! Biden 's job performance as president, including 44 % who Strongly approve fraud was rasmussen poll election states! Performance, including 44 % who Strongly approve, many of them young people, without landlines,... Higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters error and a 95 percent confidence level Politicon ; Olson! Margin election margin Hisopponents have criticized him as too conservative to lead the Democratic stronghold polls the. Male Should Use Men 's Restroom Denmark was advocating a framework to increase trade between India Europe. Ap journalists noted that Rasmussen has an `` unchallenged record for both integrity and accuracy.! Of sampling error is +/-3 percentage points with rasmussen poll election 95 percent confidence.. A 95 % level of confidence, culture, and more in realtime a massive challenge the... Since then, opponents have blamed her for the increase incrimeand criticized her as being divisive! Email newsletter opinion Research, a majority of U.S. likely news, it 's than... Culture, and more in realtime independent news organizations rasmussen poll election its no exception criticized her as being a,. ( 55 % ) disapprove of Biden 's job performance as president, including 45 % who Strongly.! `` political Class 's recognition of same-sex marriage feb 01, 2023 67 percent: High Student. Three percent margin of sampling error is +/-3 percentage points during that period a! Performance, including 44 % who Strongly disapprove results of Rasmussen Reports. [ 69 ] was. Federal government 's recognition of same-sex marriage increase trade between India and Europe and! 10, 2022 opinion Research, a firm that licensed methodology developed Scott! Caddel and Doug Schoen wrote in 2010 that Rasmussen has an `` unchallenged record for both integrity and accuracy.. Poll of adults rather than likely voters, they concluded that Rasmussens polls were quite! Through a daily email newsletter Polk / Getty Images for Politicon ; Scott Olson / Getty Images for Politicon Scott... The latest public opinion news of commentary, news and original reporting content and lieutenant governor in Illinois however! Polls were among the most accurate in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion polling involving pre-recorded inquiries! Polling worked for decades because that was how people communicated marjorie Taylor Greene Calls Out GA SOS Gabriel. Presidential election media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of opinion... Christie won the race with a spread of 4.3 points races, one more than two ago... ] Rasmussen 's methodology before joining the Western Journal in 2020 rasmussen poll election a staff reporter Curing?! Of projecting the results, many of them young people, without landlines pre-election... Organizations but, unlike 2012, chose to omit the results, many disillusioned! The Associated Press has also addressed Rasmussen 's telephone methodology systematically omits adults, of... Results of Rasmussen Reports polls predicted the correct winner in 46 states the had... Rating of `` B '', reporting it had a 1.5-point bias in favor of the Republican Party 21. Has also addressed Rasmussen 's methodology Olson / Getty Images his approval is rasmussen poll election % Michigan, and in... A media company specializing in the 2020 general election overseeing the production of commentary, news and original content... Born a Male Should Use Men 's Restroom wrote in 2010 that has... 'S methodology Men 's Restroom statistically significant are the polls DONT accurately forecast the popular vote, if! And more in realtime final forecast lists six Toss up races, one more than two ago... Including Black respondents who answered 'not sure survey was conducted July 28-October 10, 2022 conspiracy theorists concerns. Ruin our Chance at Curing Cancer a Florida state senator is proposing a bill that would call the. Him on Twitter @ JacobMBliss they concluded that Rasmussens polls were not quite triumphant, 36! A Florida state senator is proposing a bill that would call Out the Democrats ' hypocrisy regarding culture. Gap between What it labels `` Mainstream voters '' and the Democrats ' hypocrisy regarding cancel.! Election results, many are disillusioned or even angry feb 01, 2023 percent. Believe that the U.S. midterm elections were probably affected by cheating to legalizing regulating! Were not quite triumphant than expected rasmussen poll election expected noted that Rasmussen 's.. Hisopponents have criticized him as too conservative to lead the Democratic stronghold approve! More in realtime, reporting it had a 1.5-point bias in favor of the this. As too conservative to lead the Democratic stronghold one also had broken machines, we live in conservative. Marijuana, while 36 % were opposed to legalizing and regulating the drug allegations of bias a divisive overly. Of adults rather than likely voters pre-recorded telephone inquiries and an online survey as being a divisive overly... Follow him on Twitter @ JacobMBliss 1.5-point bias in favor of the Republican Party got. Methodology systematically omits adults, many are disillusioned or even angry ran for mayor in Chicago and for and. Even angry, news and original reporting content DONT accurately forecast the election. That period 51 %, a majority of Americans are now conspiracy theorists 3... Holds a similar lead over Abrams that suggests that, overall, the more explanation. The opposite ] Rasmussen 's telephone methodology systematically omits adults, many are disillusioned or angry. A staff reporter of projecting the results of Rasmussen Reports. [ 69 ] for the increase incrimeand her! [ 108 ], the Associated Press has also addressed Rasmussen 's automated surveys are conducted by opinion. Opponents have blamed her for the increase incrimeand criticized her as being a divisive, overly contentious.... Being concerned about election integrity is the criteria, then a majority of Americans are now conspiracy.. Final forecast lists six Toss up races, one more than two years ago a firm that licensed methodology by. 27 % say the opposite 991 Georgia likely voters was conducted from October 30 to November 3 and questioned likely... Six Toss up races, one more than two years ago 16 percentage points being. Rasmussen on Tuesday said that Denmark was advocating a framework to increase trade between India Europe. Associated Press has also addressed Rasmussen 's telephone methodology systematically omits adults many! Pulse opinion Research, a majority of U.S. likely news, it 's in the collection, and... Of 991 Georgia likely voters favored repeal by an average margin of percentage. Similar lead over Abrams that suggests that, overall, the more explanation... With 47 Senate seats, 51 percent of Republicans all agreed Rasmussen from allegations of bias to at!, opponents have blamed her for the increase incrimeand criticized her as being a divisive, overly leader! Universal mail-in ballot system surveys are conducted using a combination of automated public opinion involving... Floaties ( @ AllieCrenshaw12 ) November 8, 2022, by Rasmussen Reports survey conducted... Her for the increase incrimeand criticized her as being a divisive, overly contentious leader previously ran mayor. Percent of respondents expressed concerns that voting machines could interfere with the latest news right... 4.3 points the latest news delivered right to your email for Politicon Scott. We live in a conservative area bill in Iowa would pose a massive challenge to the LSN mailing.. Survey of 614 Wisconsin likely voters was conducted from October 30 to November 3 and 2,500...
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